Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.969860 3.130259 3.299726 3.492992 3.708400 3.942426 4.217721
2025-08-17 2.616403 2.819829 3.044162 3.312509 3.628398 3.993245 4.453968
2025-08-24 2.389479 2.619076 2.880773 3.206027 3.606817 4.095316 4.754419
2025-08-31 2.246430 2.498249 2.793672 3.173725 3.662507 4.290480 5.198016
2025-09-07 2.104958 2.366171 2.679305 3.092975 3.643384 4.382040 5.515573
2025-09-14 1.985616 2.251425 2.575726 3.013712 3.613643 4.450381 5.807980
2025-09-21 1.883611 2.151017 2.482063 2.937561 3.577302 4.500654 6.078387
2025-09-28 1.830918 2.108595 2.458416 2.950799 3.664294 4.740556 6.713204
2025-10-05 1.829859 2.130856 2.518933 3.082223 3.934890 5.306686 8.114158
2025-10-12 1.789057 2.098483 2.503567 3.103873 4.040575 5.619888 9.145716
2025-10-19 1.749369 2.065114 2.484136 3.116881 4.132407 5.923680 10.299314
2025-10-26 1.719011 2.042382 2.477479 3.147331 4.254781 6.307078 11.884499
2025-11-02 1.657302 1.979586 2.418230 3.104682 4.269075 6.524763 13.329371
2025-11-09 1.576532 1.887926 2.314099 2.986367 4.141250 6.429454 13.733991
2025-11-16 1.514960 1.820574 2.242039 2.914278 4.089907 6.495885 14.868527
2025-11-23 1.473549 1.779488 2.205928 2.896835 4.136556 6.798862 17.463827
2025-11-30 1.422796 1.723249 2.144747 2.834197 4.091163 6.874955 19.192611
2025-12-07 1.375145 1.669640 2.085023 2.769986 4.035940 6.916454 20.926048
2025-12-14 1.330856 1.619279 2.027993 2.706692 3.976122 6.935019 22.698248
2025-12-21 1.309023 1.600045 2.016661 2.719238 4.068936 7.395346 29.965014
2025-12-28 1.313151 1.618014 2.062327 2.832608 4.387244 8.664244 67.240319
2026-01-04 1.294570 1.602097 2.054711 2.851582 4.506256 9.379008 163.341464
2026-01-11 1.275382 1.584508 2.043497 2.862985 4.610091 10.109584 NaN